Trearddur Bay sailing weather

Should I go sailing?

No clear window

No clearly suitable period; least risky conditions are around 06:25.

Why: Wind now 22.0 kt from SSW; no two consecutive green forecast windows; next six hours 13.5–22.6 kt, gusting up to 40.0 kt; wind direction changing SSW to SW to WNW to W; rain chance up to 86%.

Models broadly agreeStation and Met Office guidance broadly agree · wind difference 1.7 kt · direction difference 17°
Forecast confidenceEstablished

Station 01:46 · forecast 01:33 Guidance only — not a go/no-go instruction. Check your ability, boat, sea state, tide and official warnings before sailing.

Ravenspoint station

Conditions now

Updated 01:46
Wind now22.0 kt
Wind directionSSW202°
Gust, last hour41.7 kt
1-hour average22.4 kt
Temperature17.1°C
Rain now0.0 mm/h
3-hour wind trendSteady+0.3 kt/h

Marine model guidance

Sea state near Trearddur Bay

Updated hourly
Wave height1.6 mUp to 1.6 m in six hours
Wave period5.4 sLonger periods can carry more energy
Wave directionSW216° from
Swell height0.5 mModelled offshore grid value

Marine model guidance from Open-Meteo. Coastal resolution is limited and this must not replace local observation, nautical forecasts or seamanship.

Decision timeline

Sailing outlook by hour

Next six hours

Wind, gusts, rain, daylight, nearby tide turns and the wind-based TBSC 2026 course selection. Forecast bearings are converted approximately to magnetic; race officers should shorten for poor visibility, rough sea or other local concerns.

Experimental local model

Next six hours

How the model works
02:25Likely unsuitable

22.6 kt SSW 192°

Likely 21.9–24.1 kt

Gust 40.0 kt

Chance of gust 18 kt or more: 100%
03:25Likely unsuitable

19.4 kt SW 227°

Likely 17.3–20.0 kt

Gust 31.3 kt

Chance of gust 18 kt or more: 99%
04:25Marginal

17.5 kt WNW 282°

Likely 15.1–17.7 kt

Gust 27.5 kt

Chance of gust 18 kt or more: 99%
05:25Marginal

15.1 kt W 281°

Likely 12.7–15.7 kt

Gust 23.8 kt

Chance of gust 18 kt or more: 99%
06:25Marginal

13.5 kt W 270°

Likely 11.3–14.0 kt

Gust 20.2 kt

Chance of gust 18 kt or more: 97%
07:25Marginal

13.9 kt W 259°

Likely 12.4–14.4 kt

Gust 19.9 kt

Chance of gust 18 kt or more: 97%

Independent cross-check

Met Office, next six hours

Strongest wind
20.8 kt
Strongest gust
34.0 kt
Rain chance
86%
Temperature
15–17°C
View the detailed Met Office forecast

Trearddur Bay

Today's tides